Bail Outs Revisited

In previous posts, I have supported bail outs for our banking system and auto makers because of the fried economy. I still think government intervention is a good emergency tool to use to prevent a complete collapse, but because of politics, the bail outs turned out to be a bad idea. It reminds me of a panhandler asking for a couple of bucks to “get something to eat” but you know he or she is just going to use to buy a 40 oz. At some point you have to say no.

I think the factors that play into a decision for government intervention should be based on the national interest. It’s like the old moral situation that if you knew something bad was going to happen and could prevent it, but it might lead to your death, would you still act?

There really is no debate that the economy is a foundation of a peaceable livable society. Look at all the countries that have poor economies – they tend to have bad political and social situations.

The banks need some infusion of cash to keep them open because it might have led to a domino effect – one fails then they take others with them. Part of that is confidence. The reason the Great Depression was so “great” was because of a lack of confidence and government intervention at the time helped restore some confidence.

The auto industry is a different interest based on the number of people employed not only making the cars but those who supply the makers and the subsidiary economy dependent on the industry. For 2 or more of those companies to fail would hurt big time. Probably as bad as the rust belt era of the 1970’s when dozens of steel makers and other heavy industries went bust putting millions out of work.

The problem I see is that once the money came in nobody seemed to work on changing or saving their business. AIG and the banks still paid their bonuses, had their lavish parties, and held on to the money for mergers. The auto makers just kept up their business as usual while Senators and Congress critters insisted that Unions take all the lumps.

So while I still think the bail outs were a good idea – I admit they didn’t work out like they were sold to us. But that’s what happens when you give away money without strings attached.

What should have happened was the large banks and AIG who were failing should have been broken up and those struggling with toxic assets should have had those assets taken off the books at their current value – why should the bank profit from their own bad decision. Bonuses should have been stopped as well as any spending not directly connected to doing their core business – like office redecoration, parties, or lobbying.

Then there would be a follow up with a review and changes, if needed, in government banking regulations to try and prevent this problem from happening again.

The auto makers should have presented a plan about how they will change their product mix and business model to reduce expenses while moving toward more energy efficient cars and trucks, as well as those that use alternative fuels. The goal is moving to a leaner business and one that will be able to compete and contribute to the move off our oil dependency.

It’s not any different than when a person asks for a business loan – you have to show a viable business plan – or you have investors who can kick you to the curb if you endanger their return on their investment through bad decisions.

2 Replies to “Bail Outs Revisited”

  1. GM makes 24 flex-fuel vehicles & 8 hybrids.

    Toyota makes 3 hybrids & no flex-fuel or alternative fuel vehicles.

    Honda makes 2 hybrids & 2 alternative fuel vehicles.

    Toyota has 6 vehicles that get 30+ mpg.

    Honda has 7.

    And GM has 20.

    The best selling vehicles in 2008 were the Ford F-Series first & the Chevy Silverado second.

    So far this year those two vehicles lead the pack once again.

    The F-Series has been the #1 truck for 32 straight years & has been the #1 vehicle for the past 27 years.

    GM & Ford both out-sell Toyota & Nissan in Europe (Honda doesn't even show up in the top ten).

    When people claim that US automakers aren't keeping up with their foreign counterparts I don't think they understand the real problem. While sales are down they repeatedly beat other manufacturers (with the gas guzzlers even).

    When folks claim that US automakers put all their money into those gas guzzlers & haven't kept up with hybrids or alternative fuel vehicles I point out how wrong they are.

    Those companies need to look at their business models — from the top to the bottom — management & labor — pay scales, benefits, retirements & bonuses — until they look at those things honestly the problem will never be fixed.

    Compare & contrast with companies not in trouble.

    http://www.gm.com/vehicles/results.jsp?bodyStyle=http://www.toyota.com/ http://automobiles.honda.com/all-models.aspx http://blogs.cars.com/kickingtires/2009/01/the-tohttp://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idCAN0http://internationaltrade.suite101.com/article.cf

  2. I know some people have made arguments that US car makers make crap – I haven't because I don't believe it but one has to wonder why GM and Chrysler has lost Billions over the past few years.

    The Unions have made consessions and the most recent contract it took over the health care sponsorship of GM retirees yet GM still lost Billions.

    I just don't think it is purely a labor cost issue or bad product mix.

    It could be that GM has too many models.

    Here is some data:

    2008 US Hybrid Yearly Sales Totals

    Toyota 224,597

    Honda 31521

    Ford 19712

    Lexus 16859

    Nissan 8819

    GM&Chev 11978

    Sales per Month 313,486

    http://www.hybridcar.com/index.php?option=com_con

    So GM may have the "top model(s)" based on 2008 sales Toyota sold more Hybrids.

    Again I think part of the problem with US auto makers is their business model (for example GM is too big) and the credit crunch not allowing for as many sales as usual. 

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